Excelsior Mouscron vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
GNK
3 - 1
EXC
62%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 0
BRU
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LOK
0 - 0
EXC
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 1
KVM
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 0
BRU
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LOK
1 - 0
DEN
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 3
KVM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
DEN
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 1
AND
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |