Excelsior Maassluis vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
KON
1 - 1
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
5 - 1
VVS
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 3
AFC
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
KOZ
3 - 0
LIE
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIE
1 - 3
KAT
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LIE
1 - 7
SPA
16%
20%
65%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIE
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |