Excelsior Maassluis vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
18º
14º
71
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 2
HHC
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
55%
22%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NOO
1 - 1
EXC
54%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
RIJ
19%
21%
61%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
KAT
2 - 1
DVS
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KAT
2 - 1
HHC
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RIJ
4 - 0
KAT
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
KAT
5 - 0
OOS
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KAT
2 - 0
TIE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |