Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
18º
14º
60
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
55%
22%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NOO
1 - 1
EXC
54%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
RIJ
19%
21%
61%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 2
USV
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 2
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
HHC
0 - 0
AFC
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HHC
1 - 6
RIJ
49%
23%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TIE
0 - 2
HHC
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HHC
2 - 0
IJS
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OOS
1 - 5
HHC
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |