AS Excelsior vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FEI
1 - 3
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
PSL
1 - 5
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
PIE
46%
26%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SDE
0 - 0
EXC
45%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -6 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +6 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 0
LMU
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LMU
1 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
LMU
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 1
LMU
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LMU
0 - 0
STP
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |