Excelsior .31 vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
HUI
1 - 3
EXC
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 3
SPA
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ASV
1 - 7
EXC
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
GEN
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EEM
5 - 3
EXC
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
4 - 1
ZUI
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 0
SPA
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
3 - 0
PUR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 3
SPA
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
STA
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |