Excelsior .31 vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
HHC
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NOO
3 - 0
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
GVV
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAT
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 5
SPA
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 0
SPA
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |