Excelsior .31 vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 6
KAT
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 3
KOZ
45%
23%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HHC
2 - 1
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JOD
3 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JOD
2 - 1
SPA
21%
22%
56%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 2
LIS
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOO
4 - 2
SPA
36%
24%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
IJS
65%
18%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
RIJ
1 - 0
SPA
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |