Excelsior .31 vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 3
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 3
GVV
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 0
GVV
64%
18%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
4 - 4
KAT
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAP
4 - 1
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 2
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HHC
0 - 3
SPA
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |