Excelsior .31 vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 1
ARC
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LIS
3 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 1
HHC
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
RBC
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
6 - 2
GEN
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
KAT
1 - 1
SPA
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HOE
0 - 0
SPA
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
4 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |