Excelsior .31 vs Rijnsburgse Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
IJS
0 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
LIS
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
KOZ
3 - 4
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
ONS
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 4
GVV
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
RIJ
4 - 1
GVV
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
RIJ
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RIJ
3 - 3
KAT
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
RIJ
50%
22%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RIJ
2 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |