Excelsior .31 vs VV Noordwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 4
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DET
0 - 3
EXC
15%
22%
64%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 3
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VV Noordwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOO
1 - 4
GVV
45%
23%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NOO
0 - 0
IJS
54%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
KOZ
0 - 2
NOO
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GVV
1 - 3
NOO
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NOO
0 - 3
RIJ
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |