Excelsior .31 vs VV Noordwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 3
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VV Noordwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
KAT
5 - 3
NOO
46%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOO
0 - 2
CAP
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOO
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NOO
4 - 2
HHC
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOO
1 - 2
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |