Excelsior .31 vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
KOZ
3 - 4
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
ONS
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 4
GVV
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 5
HER
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 1
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 1
GVV
43%
23%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 1
LIS
50%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 0
KAT
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 0
LIS
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 1
SCH
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |