Excelsior .31 vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
GVV
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GVV
4 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 3
KAT
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
4 - 1
GEN
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LIE
6 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LIE
3 - 1
JVC
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DET
2 - 1
LIE
56%
22%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 1
EVV
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HBS
2 - 1
LIE
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |