Excelsior .31 vs Kozakken Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
52.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 1
EXC
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GVV
4 - 2
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 4
CAP
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
KAT
3 - 1
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kozakken Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
KOZ
3 - 0
GVV
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
KOZ
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
KOZ
2 - 3
KAT
62%
19%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
KOZ
57%
21%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
KOZ
1 - 1
TER
70%
17%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |