Excelsior .31 vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 2
EXC
55%
22%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
SCH
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
WIL
24%
23%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
EXC
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 2
TER
65%
19%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KAT
3 - 1
GVV
48%
22%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
KAT
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 6
BVO
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
4 - 0
ONS
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |