Excelsior .31 vs IJsselmeervogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
EXC
26%
24%
49%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
RIJ
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SVZ
3 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
IJS
2 - 2
SPA
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 2
IJS
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IJS
1 - 3
GVV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
IJS
0 - 2
FCD
39%
24%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 3
IJS
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |