Excelsior .31 vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 3
EXC
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 2
KAT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 2
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARC
2 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 3
LIS
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HOE
1 - 2
FLE
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GEN
5 - 2
HOE
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HOE
1 - 1
RIJ
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 1
HOE
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HOE
0 - 3
IJS
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |