Excelsior .31 vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NOO
3 - 0
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 3
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
RIJ
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
IJS
0 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
LIS
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
HHC
1 - 1
GVV
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
HHC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KAT
0 - 1
HHC
36%
24%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HHC
4 - 2
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 2
HHC
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |