Excelsior .31 vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
VVS
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
STE
0 - 2
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 1
ODI
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
DEM
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
DVS
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TER
0 - 2
HAR
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LIS
0 - 1
HAR
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 0
VVO
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VVS
2 - 4
HAR
43%
23%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |