Excelsior .31 vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
27%
22%
51%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVO
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 2
EXC
9%
17%
73%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
6 - 1
HZV
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
BOS
3 - 0
JON
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
BOS
33%
25%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
BOS
0 - 0
PSV
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
TEL
1 - 0
BOS
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
BOS
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |