Excelsior .31 vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
HHC
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NOO
3 - 0
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 3
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
RIJ
44%
24%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
GVV
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 3
KAT
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 3
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |