Excelsior .31 vs DETO Twenterand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 3
EXC
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 0
BAR
26%
25%
50%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
DETO Twenterand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DET
1 - 2
LIS
16%
21%
62%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JOD
0 - 3
DET
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
DET
0 - 5
IJS
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOO
1 - 0
DET
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DET
1 - 2
GVV
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |