Excelsior .31 vs RKVV DEM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 0
FLE
72%
17%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SVZ
1 - 2
EXC
14%
18%
68%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ACV
0 - 4
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 0
SDC
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
APE
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
RKVV DEM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEM
2 - 1
ACH
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HOO
0 - 0
DEM
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
DEM
2 - 1
RKH
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SIL
1 - 0
DEM
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
DEM
3 - 0
HOO
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |