Excelsior .31 vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
KAT
3 - 1
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 4
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 3
GVV
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 3
SPA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ONS
1 - 2
CAP
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
KAT
2 - 2
CAP
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
CAP
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |