Excelsior .31 vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
HHC
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
IJS
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
EXC
26%
24%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
RIJ
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 1
GVV
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 2
CAP
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 2
GEN
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 2
CAP
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 1
MON
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |