EVV vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
EVV
3 - 1
QUI
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
EVV
3 - 2
VVS
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GEM
0 - 4
EVV
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 1
EVV
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DET
0 - 3
EVV
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 2
GEM
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DET
1 - 3
LIE
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 1
FCO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 0
ARG
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ACH
5 - 1
LIE
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |