EVV vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EVV
2 - 3
WKE
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARG
2 - 0
EVV
59%
23%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EVV
0 - 0
HIL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
EVV
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HAA
2 - 0
EVV
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ARC
3 - 1
HOE
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HOE
6 - 3
APE
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HOE
0 - 1
LIS
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
HOE
69%
18%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HOE
2 - 1
HHC
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |