Evry vs Paris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
EVR
1 - 1
OLY
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EVR
2 - 0
AUL
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
POI
2 - 0
EVR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EVR
3 - 2
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ESW
1 - 0
EVR
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 3
IRI
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUL
2 - 0
PAR
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 4
POI
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 2
PAR
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
ESW
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |