Evry vs Paris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOI
0 - 0
EVR
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
EVR
0 - 5
LUS
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
EVR
0 - 4
CHA
14%
19%
66%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
EVR
0 - 1
THO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
REI
0 - 1
EVR
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
ROU
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
IRI
6 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 3
RAC
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 3
PAR
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
SED
27%
23%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |