Evry vs Aulnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
POI
2 - 0
EVR
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EVR
3 - 2
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ESW
1 - 0
EVR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EVR
2 - 2
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
EVR
4 - 0
NOI
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUL
1 - 2
IRI
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AUL
3 - 1
OLY
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
POI
2 - 0
AUL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUL
0 - 0
VAL
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 8
AUL
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |