Evreux 27 vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
77.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
EVR
0 - 1
PAM
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
EVR
3 - 2
LHA
8%
20%
72%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EVR
1 - 2
BAY
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
EVR
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
EVR
2 - 1
CAE
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
SOC
3 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
4 - 2
LOR
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 3
VAL
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 2
VAL
6%
12%
83%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |