Evreux 27 vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
EVR
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 3
EVR
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EVR
4 - 1
DIE
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 5
EVR
6%
13%
82%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DIV
0 - 2
EVR
12%
18%
69%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 0
OIS
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 0
ALE
41%
25%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 0
BAY
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
DIV
2 - 0
ALE
21%
21%
57%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 1
AVR
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |