Evreux 27 vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OIS
0 - 0
EVR
61%
21%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 1
EVR
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ROU
0 - 3
EVR
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EVR
2 - 0
QUE
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DIV
1 - 3
EVR
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GON
2 - 2
ALE
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 1
PAM
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ROU
1 - 0
ALE
41%
23%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 0
BAY
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ALE
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |