Evreux 27 vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TOU
4 - 1
EVR
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EVR
1 - 0
QUE
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OIS
4 - 0
EVR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EVR
0 - 1
CAE
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STP
2 - 0
EVR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 0
BOU
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
CAE
42%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
UJA
2 - 1
BOU
29%
26%
46%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 0
DRO
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AVO
4 - 2
BOU
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |