Evian Thonon Gaillard vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ETG
4 - 2
REN
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 0
ETG
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 2
REI
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 2
ETG
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ETG
5 - 1
SOC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 1
PSG
13%
21%
66%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 1
PSG
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
PSG
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 2
FCB
17%
21%
62%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PSG
1 - 0
MPL
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |