Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
ETG
0 - 2
AJA
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CLE
4 - 1
ETG
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 4
ETG
7%
14%
79%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
ETG
0 - 1
ASN
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
ETG
0 - 2
BRE
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
GAZ
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MON
10 - 2
SJB
84%
14%
2%
|
84 | 27 | 57 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
GIR
3 - 0
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |