Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
ETG
0 - 0
NIO
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
ETG
25%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
ETG
2 - 2
CLE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
NÎM
0 - 0
ETG
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
LHA
0 - 1
CLE
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CLE
1 - 0
NÎM
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 3
CLE
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
ETG
2 - 2
CLE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
CLE
0 - 0
SOC
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |