Evian Thonon Gaillard II vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EVI
0 - 1
FEU
70%
17%
12%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUX
9 - 0
EVI
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EVI
4 - 2
LPV
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CSL
2 - 3
EVI
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EVI
1 - 1
BOU
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAE
3 - 0
AUX
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LPV
1 - 1
SAE
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAE
1 - 2
CSL
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BOU
3 - 1
SAE
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SAE
1 - 1
BOU
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |