Evesham United vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
THA
1 - 2
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SWI
3 - 3
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 2
RED
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
PTC
3 - 0
EVE
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHE
7%
15%
78%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
WUN
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 1
BRI
12%
18%
71%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FRO
3 - 3
BRI
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 2
BRI
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 0
MEL
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |