Copa Chile 1/16
Global 4-3
Everton Viña del Mar vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton Viña del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 1
EVE
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
EVE
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCH
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
EVE
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 0
DCO
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 1
EVE
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
USF
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CDM
5 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 3
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |