Everton U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 0
LEI
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MCI
4 - 1
EVE
42%
24%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
LIV
33%
23%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MCI
3 - 3
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 4
BHA
34%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
39%
24%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
DER
2 - 2
TOT
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |