Everton U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 2
STO
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 3
TOT
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 2
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
EVE
29%
21%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
LIV
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DER
3 - 3
TOT
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DER
3 - 0
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MID
2 - 1
DER
33%
21%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
AST
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |