Everton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
EVE
2 - 2
WBA
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
MID
0 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
0 - 0
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CHL
3 - 0
EVE
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
0 - 1
TOT
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
LEE
0 - 3
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 0
CRY
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CRY
0 - 3
WAT
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 0
HUL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 2
WAT
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |