Everton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
SUN
2 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
COV
1 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHW
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 1
TOT
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 0
SHW
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
NEW
1 - 0
WAT
84%
12%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 2
WHU
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
CHL
2 - 1
WAT
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |