Everton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1985 |
EVE
2 - 0
DON
100%
0%
0%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1985 |
EVE
4 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1985 |
LEE
0 - 2
EVE
26%
30%
44%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
EVE
2 - 1
LUT
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
IPS
0 - 2
EVE
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1985 |
GRI
1 - 3
WAT
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1985 |
WAT
0 - 1
SUN
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1985 |
WAT
5 - 0
SHE
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
WAT
1 - 1
LIV
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
WAT
4 - 1
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |