Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Everton vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1965 |
SHE
2 - 0
EVE
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 2
LEI
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
UJP
3 - 0
EVE
43%
23%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
BBU
1 - 2
EVE
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
EVE
0 - 0
BPO
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
UJP
3 - 0
EVE
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
UJP
3 - 1
VCF
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
VCF
5 - 2
UJP
72%
16%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
LPL
1 - 3
UJP
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
UJP
0 - 0
LPL
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |