Everton vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1981 |
NOT
2 - 2
EVE
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
EVE
1 - 2
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
EVE
0 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
SWA
1 - 0
BIR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1981 |
SWA
0 - 0
BHA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
MAC
4 - 0
SWA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
IPS
2 - 3
SWA
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
SWA
0 - 0
WOL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |