Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
74%
18%
9%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
FCN
0 - 2
EVE
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EVE
3 - 1
BIR
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 1
EVE
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 1
FUL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WHU
3 - 1
SUN
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 2
SUN
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |